Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1052.217500 1211.243162 1395.514030 1627.080130 1913.538037 2260.631755 2.719839e+03
2024-10-06 842.012747 1041.308310 1296.720717 1656.516166 2164.859072 2881.731760 4.017741e+03
2024-10-13 717.464054 921.401590 1197.322501 1611.803510 2245.331881 3228.072957 4.987683e+03
2024-10-20 629.180649 833.078533 1121.500509 1578.947436 2327.989181 3595.662860 6.150538e+03
2024-10-27 556.081145 753.155341 1041.390739 1518.023432 2342.156284 3840.284303 7.185214e+03
2024-11-03 525.291941 729.542717 1039.662967 1577.589546 2569.288396 4536.587331 9.550516e+03
2024-11-10 494.879329 702.034304 1026.771160 1614.032980 2760.804244 5228.997334 1.240356e+04
2024-11-17 467.975792 676.510228 1012.919716 1644.960914 2947.730445 5983.752278 1.610090e+04
2024-11-24 434.935641 637.633350 971.734957 1617.969616 3007.313524 6459.314462 1.938860e+04
2024-12-01 415.099445 618.217714 961.254340 1647.306699 3196.953048 7358.011834 2.547883e+04
2024-12-08 400.855492 606.592770 962.771977 1700.186741 3455.454145 8589.217846 3.533734e+04
2024-12-15 382.210835 585.703883 945.012659 1709.984003 3611.337486 9594.638885 4.641559e+04
2024-12-22 360.442926 559.078711 916.573762 1698.846111 3729.275060 10622.215104 6.177771e+04
2024-12-29 346.931624 546.101780 913.033559 1743.767963 4021.934098 12571.896047 9.615338e+04
2025-01-05 324.473624 514.965065 870.543381 1691.316724 4015.180881 13279.608672 1.221860e+05
2025-01-12 306.162715 490.057376 838.039924 1657.785206 4059.103537 14288.511913 1.644276e+05
2025-01-19 286.454234 461.183038 794.928741 1592.263229 3984.271927 14671.353714 2.014307e+05
2025-01-26 280.580560 457.700566 803.283303 1655.993121 4360.873078 17929.051594 4.051422e+05
2025-02-02 272.812627 449.980224 801.942008 1694.843969 4669.859463 21283.877988 8.616719e+05
2025-02-09 265.075943 441.718822 798.574526 1727.905332 4974.482006 25187.040788 2.225899e+06
2025-02-16 253.129354 424.421441 773.998838 1699.062846 5027.396676 27262.007815 4.736308e+06
2025-02-23 246.488495 417.171713 770.935660 1730.406824 5345.481446 32440.192723 3.118911e+07
2025-03-02 241.948216 413.785830 776.178264 1786.931327 5805.020871 40508.771070 NaN